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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Uniao de Lamas x Leca Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Uniao de Lamas Uniao de Lamas
PREDICTION No tip
Leca Leca
Don't miss this prediction!

Uniao de Lamas x Leca Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Uniao de Lamas x Leca, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
15:00
Uniao de Lamas Uniao de Lamas
2.62
X
3.00
Leca Leca
2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Uniao de Lamas x Leca:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Uniao de Lamas x Leca

Some important points for the tip for Uniao de Lamas x Leca:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Uniao de Lamas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $322.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $149.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Uniao de Lamas scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Leca scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Uniao de Lamas is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Leca has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Uniao de Lamas x Leca?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Uniao de Lamas x Leca:

Analysis from Uniao de Lamas x Leca for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

🏟️ Uniao de Lamas X Leca – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Uniao de Lamas – Winning probability: 29.63% | Fair line: 3.37
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.24% | Fair line: 3.42
πŸ”΄ Leca – Winning probability: 41.13% | Fair line: 2.43
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Uniao de Lamas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Uniao de Lamas and Leca.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Uniao de Lamas x Leca

Should you bet on Uniao de Lamas?

πŸ”΅ Uniao de Lamas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $486.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$214.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$130.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Leca?

πŸ”΄ Leca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $615.00;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$25.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Uniao de Lamas x Leca

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Uniao de Lamas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Uniao de Lamas x Leca

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Uniao de Lamas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Uniao de Lamas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Leca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Uniao de Lamas x Leca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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