Union Adarve x CD Atletico Paso Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
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29/9/2024 06:30 |
 Union Adarve2.44 |
X 2.88 |
CD Atletico Paso  3.18 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Union Adarve x CD Atletico Paso:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Union Adarve x CD Atletico Paso
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Some important points for the tip for Union Adarve x CD Atletico Paso: π If you had bet $100 on Union Adarve in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0. |
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Analysis from Union Adarve x CD Atletico Paso for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 29 of September
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ποΈ Union Adarve X CD Atletico Paso – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Adarve x CD Atletico Paso right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Adarve x CD Atletico Paso
Is betting on Union Adarve worth it?
π΅ Union Adarve: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $374.40
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$365.60.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $714.40
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$94.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on CD Atletico Paso?
π΄ CD Atletico Paso: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $784.80;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$144.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Union Adarve x CD Atletico Paso
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union Adarve
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Adarve x CD Atletico Paso
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Union Adarve, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Union Adarve. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Adarve x CD Atletico Paso
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
