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Home » Predictions » Others » Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion Betting tips for May 11 in Chile Cup
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 15h30 Chile Cup
Union Espanola Union Espanola
PREDICTION Union Espanola wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Deportes Concepcion Deportes Concepcion
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion Betting tips for May 11 in Chile Cup

Our betting tip for Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
15:30
Union Espanola Union Espanola
1.55
X
3.60
Deportes Concepcion Deportes Concepcion
5.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion:

🔮 Union Espanola wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Espanola, you can win up to $775.00!

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The main points for the tip for Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Espanola in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Concepcion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Deportes Concepcion scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Deportes Concepcion matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportes Concepcion conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion:

Analysis from Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion for the Chile Cup – 11 of May

🏟️ Union Espanola X Deportes Concepcion – Chile Cup
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Union Espanola – Winning probability: 73.65% | Fair line: 1.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.09% | Fair line: 7.64
🔴 Deportes Concepcion – Winning probability: 13.25% | Fair line: 7.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Union Espanola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Union Espanola and Deportes Concepcion.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322673 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion

Is it a good idea to bet on Union Espanola?

🔵 Union Espanola: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $407.00;
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$147.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $338.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$532.00.

Should you bet on Deportes Concepcion?

🔴 Deportes Concepcion: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $617.50;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Union Espanola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Union Espanola and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Union Espanola.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Union Espanola.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Espanola x Deportes Concepcion

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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