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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Union Luxembourg x UT Petange Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h30 Luxembourg Division Nationale
Union Luxembourg Union Luxembourg
PREDICTION No tip
UT Petange UT Petange
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Union Luxembourg x UT Petange Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale

Our betting tip for Union Luxembourg x UT Petange, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
13:30
Union Luxembourg Union Luxembourg
2.20
X
3.35
UT Petange UT Petange
2.86

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Union Luxembourg x UT Petange:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Union Luxembourg x UT Petange

The main points for the tip for Union Luxembourg x UT Petange:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Union Luxembourg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $208.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UT Petange in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Union Luxembourg scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Union Luxembourg x UT Petange, with Union Luxembourg as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Union Luxembourg matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Union Luxembourg is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, UT Petange has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Union Luxembourg x UT Petange for the Luxembourg Division Nationale – 29 of September

🏟️ Union Luxembourg X UT Petange – Luxembourg Division Nationale
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Union Luxembourg – Winning probability: 45.01% | Fair line: 2.22
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.46% | Fair line: 3.28
πŸ”΄ UT Petange – Winning probability: 24.53% | Fair line: 4.08
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union Luxembourg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Luxembourg x UT Petange right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Union Luxembourg x UT Petange

Is betting on Union Luxembourg worth it?

πŸ”΅ Union Luxembourg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$10.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $705.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$5.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on UT Petange worth it?

πŸ”΄ UT Petange: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $465.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$285.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union Luxembourg x UT Petange

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union Luxembourg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Luxembourg x UT Petange

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Union Luxembourg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Union Luxembourg.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Luxembourg x UT Petange

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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