Union Magdalena x Deportivo Pereira Betting tips for April 12 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 12/4/2025 21:10 |
 Union Magdalena2.25 |
X 2.98 |
Deportivo Pereira  3.36 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Union Magdalena x Deportivo Pereira:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Union Magdalena x Deportivo Pereira
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Some important points for the tip for Union Magdalena x Deportivo Pereira: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Magdalena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Union Magdalena x Deportivo Pereira for the Colombia Primera A – 12 of April
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🏟️ Union Magdalena X Deportivo Pereira – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Magdalena x Deportivo Pereira right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Magdalena x Deportivo Pereira
Should you bet on Union Magdalena?
🔵 Union Magdalena: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $575.00;
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$35.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $613.80;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Pereira?
🔴 Deportivo Pereira: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $542.80;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$227.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Union Magdalena x Deportivo Pereira
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Union Magdalena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Magdalena x Deportivo Pereira
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Union Magdalena and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Union Magdalena.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Deportivo Pereira.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Magdalena x Deportivo Pereira
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
