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Home » Predictions » Others » Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 13
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 13
Union Molinense CF Union Molinense CF
PREDICTION Union Molinense CF wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Plus Ultra Plus Ultra
ODD: @1.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 13

Our betting tip for Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:00
Union Molinense CF Union Molinense CF
1.15
X
6.32
Plus Ultra Plus Ultra
12.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra:

🔮 Union Molinense CF wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Molinense CF, you can win up to $575.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Molinense CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $462.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Plus Ultra in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Union Molinense CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Plus Ultra scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Plus Ultra matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Plus Ultra conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Plus Ultra as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra:

Analysis from Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra for the Spain Tercera Group 13 – 1 of December

🏟️ Union Molinense CF X Plus Ultra – Spain Tercera Group 13
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Union Molinense CF – Winning probability: 98.24% | Fair line: 1.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.64% | Fair line: 60.99
🔴 Plus Ultra – Winning probability: 0.12% | Fair line: 806.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Union Molinense CF
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra

Is betting on Union Molinense CF worth it?

🔵 Union Molinense CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $147.00;
  • And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$127.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $106.40;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$873.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Plus Ultra?

🔴 Plus Ultra: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Union Molinense CF
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Union Molinense CF, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.25 Union Molinense CF.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.25 Plus Ultra.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Molinense CF x Plus Ultra

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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