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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs Betting tips for February 8 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Saturday, 08 February 2025, 01h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
PREDICTION No tip
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
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Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs Betting tips for February 8 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs, Saturday, 8/2/2025
πŸ“… 8/2/2025
01:15
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
2.53
X
2.90
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
3.01

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs

The main points for the tip for Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Union Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Argentinos Jrs in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-360.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Union Santa Fe scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Argentinos Jrs, Union Santa Fe scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Union Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Argentinos Jrs has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Union Santa Fe has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Argentinos Jrs.

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Summary

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Analysis from Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 8 of February

🏟️ Union Santa Fe X Argentinos Jrs – Argentina Liga Profesional
πŸ“… 8 of February, 2025 – 01:15
πŸ”΅ Union Santa Fe – Winning probability: 32.82% | Fair line: 3.05
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.55% | Fair line: 2.81
πŸ”΄ Argentinos Jrs – Winning probability: 31.63% | Fair line: 3.16
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1258741 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs

Should you bet on Union Santa Fe?

πŸ”΅ Union Santa Fe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $504.90
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$165.10.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $684.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$44.00.

Is it worth betting on Argentinos Jrs?

πŸ”΄ Argentinos Jrs: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $643.20;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$36.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Union Santa Fe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Union Santa Fe.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Union Santa Fe.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Santa Fe x Argentinos Jrs

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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