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Home » Predictions » Others » Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 08h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Union Sur Yaiza Union Sur Yaiza
PREDICTION Union Sur Yaiza wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
CD Mostoles URJC CD Mostoles URJC
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
08:00
Union Sur Yaiza Union Sur Yaiza
1.85
X
3.28
CD Mostoles URJC CD Mostoles URJC
3.95

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC:

🔮 Union Sur Yaiza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Sur Yaiza, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Sur Yaiza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Mostoles URJC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Union Sur Yaiza scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 29 of September

🏟️ Union Sur Yaiza X CD Mostoles URJC – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 08:00
🔵 Union Sur Yaiza – Winning probability: 66.29% | Fair line: 1.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.80% | Fair line: 4.59
🔴 CD Mostoles URJC – Winning probability: 11.92% | Fair line: 8.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Union Sur Yaiza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC

Should you bet on Union Sur Yaiza?

🔵 Union Sur Yaiza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $561.00;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$221.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $501.60;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$278.40.

Is it worth betting on CD Mostoles URJC?

🔴 CD Mostoles URJC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $354.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$526.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Union Sur Yaiza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Union Sur Yaiza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Union Sur Yaiza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Union Sur Yaiza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Sur Yaiza x CD Mostoles URJC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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