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Home » Predictions » Others » Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h30 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca CF Unionistas de Salamanca CF
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Ponferradina Ponferradina
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:30
Unionistas de Salamanca CF Unionistas de Salamanca CF
2.45
X
2.90
Ponferradina Ponferradina
2.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Unionistas de Salamanca CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ponferradina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $307.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Unionistas de Salamanca CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Ponferradina scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 2 of February

🏟️ Unionistas de Salamanca CF X Ponferradina – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Unionistas de Salamanca CF – Winning probability: 33.22% | Fair line: 3.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.38% | Fair line: 2.83
🔴 Ponferradina – Winning probability: 31.40% | Fair line: 3.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Unionistas de Salamanca CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina

Is it worth betting on Unionistas de Salamanca CF?

🔵 Unionistas de Salamanca CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $478.50;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$191.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $665.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$15.00.

Should you bet on Ponferradina?

🔴 Ponferradina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $542.50;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$147.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Unionistas de Salamanca CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Unionistas de Salamanca CF, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Unionistas de Salamanca CF.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Unionistas de Salamanca CF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Unionistas de Salamanca CF x Ponferradina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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