Universidad de Chile x La Serena Betting tips for April 17 in Chile Liga de Primera

Our betting tip for Universidad de Chile x La Serena, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025 22:00

Universidad de Chile 1.30

X 5.00

La Serena 8.42

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Universidad de Chile x La Serena:

🔮 Universidad de Chile wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Universidad de Chile, you can win up to $650.00!

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Important information for your tip for Universidad de Chile x La Serena: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad de Chile in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $208.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on La Serena in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Universidad de Chile did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Universidad de Chile scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against La Serena, Universidad de Chile scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, La Serena conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Universidad de Chile is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Universidad de Chile has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against La Serena playing at home.

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Analysis from Universidad de Chile x La Serena for the Chile Liga de Primera – 17 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Universidad de Chile x La Serena right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1305782 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Universidad de Chile x La Serena

Is betting on Universidad de Chile worth it?

🔵 Universidad de Chile: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 890 times – having a profit of $267.00;
• And would have lost other 110 times – with a loss of -$110.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$157.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $360.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is betting on La Serena worth it?

🔴 La Serena: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $148.40;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$831.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad de Chile x La Serena

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Universidad de Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad de Chile x La Serena

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Universidad de Chile, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Universidad de Chile.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Universidad de Chile.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad de Chile x La Serena

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.