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Home » Predictions » Others » Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta Betting tips for July 5 in Chile Primera B
Saturday, 05 July 2025, 22h00 Chile Primera B
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
PREDICTION No tip
CD Antofagasta CD Antofagasta
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Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta Betting tips for July 5 in Chile Primera B

Our betting tip for Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta, Saturday, 5/7/2025
📅 5/7/2025
22:00
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
1.76
X
3.40
CD Antofagasta CD Antofagasta
3.97

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta

Some important points for the tip for Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad de Concepcion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-33.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Antofagasta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 CD Antofagasta did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against CD Antofagasta, Universidad de Concepcion scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CD Antofagasta conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for CD Antofagasta as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta for the Chile Primera B – 5 of July

🏟️ Universidad de Concepcion X CD Antofagasta – Chile Primera B
📅 5 of July, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Universidad de Concepcion – Winning probability: 42.02% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.03% | Fair line: 3.45
🔴 CD Antofagasta – Winning probability: 28.95% | Fair line: 3.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Universidad de Concepcion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348834 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta

Is betting on Universidad de Concepcion worth it?

🔵 Universidad de Concepcion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $319.20;
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$260.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $696.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is betting on CD Antofagasta worth it?

🔴 CD Antofagasta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.97. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $861.30;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$151.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Universidad de Concepcion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Universidad de Concepcion and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Universidad de Concepcion.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 CD Antofagasta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad de Concepcion x CD Antofagasta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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