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Home Β» Predictions Β» Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United Betting tips for April 12 in Mexico Segunda Division
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 17h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Universidad Guadalajara II Universidad Guadalajara II
PREDICTION No tip
Los Cabos United Los Cabos United
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Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United Betting tips for April 12 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United, Saturday, 12/4/2025
πŸ“… 12/4/2025
17:00
Universidad Guadalajara II Universidad Guadalajara II
2.06
X
3.70
Los Cabos United Los Cabos United
2.92

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United

The main points for the tip for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Universidad Guadalajara II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $565.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Los Cabos United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Universidad Guadalajara II scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Universidad Guadalajara II is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United for the Mexico Segunda Division – 12 of April

🏟️ Universidad Guadalajara II X Los Cabos United – Mexico Segunda Division
πŸ“… 12 of April, 2025 – 17:00
πŸ”΅ Universidad Guadalajara II – Winning probability: 53.07% | Fair line: 1.88
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.12% | Fair line: 4.33
πŸ”΄ Los Cabos United – Winning probability: 23.82% | Fair line: 4.2
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Universidad Guadalajara II and Los Cabos United.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United

Is betting on Universidad Guadalajara II worth it?

πŸ”΅ Universidad Guadalajara II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $561.80;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$91.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $621.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$149.00.

Should you bet on Los Cabos United?

πŸ”΄ Los Cabos United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $460.80;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$299.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara II. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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