📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Universidad Guadalajara x Pumas Tabasco
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Analysis from Universidad Guadalajara x Pumas Tabasco for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 16 of January
🏟️ Universidad Guadalajara X Pumas Tabasco – Mexico Liga de Expansion
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Universidad Guadalajara x Pumas Tabasco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288253 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Universidad Guadalajara x Pumas Tabasco
Is betting on Universidad Guadalajara worth it?
🔵 Universidad Guadalajara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $465.30
- And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.70.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $609.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.00.
Is betting on Pumas Tabasco worth it?
🔴 Pumas Tabasco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $615.36;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$144.64.
Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad Guadalajara x Pumas Tabasco
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad Guadalajara x Pumas Tabasco
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Universidad Guadalajara.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Pumas Tabasco.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad Guadalajara x Pumas Tabasco
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves