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Home » Predictions » Others » Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC Betting tips for February 2 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 18h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Universidad Guadalajara Universidad Guadalajara
PREDICTION Universidad Guadalajara wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Tlaxcala FC Tlaxcala FC
ODD: @1.39 Don't miss this prediction!

Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC Betting tips for February 2 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
18:00
Universidad Guadalajara Universidad Guadalajara
1.39
X
4.45
Tlaxcala FC Tlaxcala FC
6.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC:

🔮 Universidad Guadalajara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Universidad Guadalajara, you can win up to $695.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $149.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tlaxcala FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Universidad Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tlaxcala FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Tlaxcala FC, Universidad Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Universidad Guadalajara matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Tlaxcala FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Universidad Guadalajara is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Universidad Guadalajara has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Tlaxcala FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 2 of February

🏟️ Universidad Guadalajara X Tlaxcala FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Universidad Guadalajara – Winning probability: 81.13% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.06% | Fair line: 7.65
🔴 Tlaxcala FC – Winning probability: 5.80% | Fair line: 17.23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Universidad Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Universidad Guadalajara?

🔵 Universidad Guadalajara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $315.90
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$125.90.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $448.50
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$421.50.

Should you bet on Tlaxcala FC?

🔴 Tlaxcala FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $324.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$616.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Universidad Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Universidad Guadalajara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Universidad Guadalajara.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad Guadalajara x Tlaxcala FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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