Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar Betting tips for April 14 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar, Monday, 14/4/2025

📅 14/4/2025 00:00

Universitario de Deportes 1.73

X 3.40

FBC Melgar 4.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar:

🔮 Universitario de Deportes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Universitario de Deportes, you can win up to $865.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FBC Melgar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $580.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FBC Melgar, Universitario de Deportes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar, with Universitario de Deportes as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 FBC Melgar matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Universitario de Deportes conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FBC Melgar conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Universitario de Deportes has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against FBC Melgar playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar:

Analysis from Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar for the Peru Liga 1 – 14 of April

When the best bet on Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302894 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar

Is it a good idea to bet on Universitario de Deportes?

🔵 Universitario de Deportes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 660 times – profiting $481.80;
• And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$141.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $552.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.

Is betting on FBC Melgar worth it?

🔴 FBC Melgar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Universitario de Deportes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Universitario de Deportes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Universitario de Deportes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 FBC Melgar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universitario de Deportes x FBC Melgar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.