UP Langreo x Pontevedra Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for UP Langreo x Pontevedra, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:00

UP Langreo 2.60

X 3.05

Pontevedra 2.49

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UP Langreo x Pontevedra:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for UP Langreo x Pontevedra

Some important points for the tip for UP Langreo x Pontevedra: 👉 If you had bet $100 on UP Langreo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-38.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontevedra in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-356.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, UP Langreo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UP Langreo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Pontevedra conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on UP Langreo x Pontevedra?

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Analysis from UP Langreo x Pontevedra for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UP Langreo and Pontevedra.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UP Langreo x Pontevedra

Should you bet on UP Langreo?

🔵 UP Langreo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $492.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$268.00.

Should you bet on Pontevedra?

🔴 Pontevedra: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $640.70;
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match UP Langreo x Pontevedra

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 UP Langreo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UP Langreo x Pontevedra

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 UP Langreo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 UP Langreo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 UP Langreo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UP Langreo x Pontevedra

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.