UPDF FC x Wakiso United Betting tips for October 1 in Uganda Premier League

Our betting tip for UPDF FC x Wakiso United, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 10:00

UPDF FC 2.31

X 3.05

Wakiso United 2.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UPDF FC x Wakiso United:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for UPDF FC x Wakiso United

Important information for your tip for UPDF FC x Wakiso United: 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between UPDF FC x Wakiso United, with UPDF FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 Wakiso United matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Wakiso United conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, UPDF FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Wakiso United. 👉 Even as a visitor, Wakiso United won the last 3 head-to-head matches UPDF FC´s territory

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Analysis from UPDF FC x Wakiso United for the Uganda Premier League – 1 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UPDF FC and Wakiso United.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UPDF FC x Wakiso United

Is it worth betting on UPDF FC?

🔵 UPDF FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $550.20
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$29.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $594.50;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$115.50.

Is betting on Wakiso United worth it?

🔴 Wakiso United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $551.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$159.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match UPDF FC x Wakiso United

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UPDF FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UPDF FC x Wakiso United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 UPDF FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 UPDF FC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UPDF FC x Wakiso United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.