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Urduliz FT x Portugalete Betting tips for January 15 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for Urduliz FT x Portugalete, Saturday, 15/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 15/1/2022
15:15
Urduliz FT
5.39
X
3.24
Portugalete
1.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Urduliz FT x Portugalete:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Portugalete wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Portugalete, you can win up to $815.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Urduliz FT x Portugalete

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Urduliz FT x Portugalete?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Urduliz FT x Portugalete:

Analysis from Urduliz FT x Portugalete for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 15 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Urduliz FT X Portugalete – Spain Tercera Group 4
๐Ÿ“… 15 of January, 2022 – 15:15
๐Ÿ”ต Urduliz FT – Winning probability: 7.93% | Fair line: 12.62
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.56% | Fair line: 3.63
๐Ÿ”ด Portugalete – Winning probability: 64.51% | Fair line: 1.55
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Urduliz FT
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Urduliz FT x Portugalete right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Urduliz FT x Portugalete

Should you bet on Urduliz FT?

๐Ÿ”ต Urduliz FT: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $351.20;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$568.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $627.20;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$92.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Portugalete?

๐Ÿ”ด Portugalete: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $409.50
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$59.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Urduliz FT x Portugalete

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Urduliz FT
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Urduliz FT x Portugalete

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Urduliz FT and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Urduliz FT.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Portugalete.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Urduliz FT x Portugalete

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

You can check out our tips on YouTube

Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Saturday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves