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Home » Predictions » Others » US Adriese x Treviso Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
US Adriese US Adriese
PREDICTION No tip
Treviso Treviso
Don't miss this prediction!

US Adriese x Treviso Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for US Adriese x Treviso, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
10:00
US Adriese US Adriese
2.70
X
3.11
Treviso Treviso
2.33

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for US Adriese x Treviso:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for US Adriese x Treviso

Important information for your tip for US Adriese x Treviso:

👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, US Adriese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Treviso scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from US Adriese x Treviso for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

🏟️ US Adriese X Treviso – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 US Adriese – Winning probability: 29.35% | Fair line: 3.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.18% | Fair line: 3.31
🔴 Treviso – Winning probability: 40.47% | Fair line: 2.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 US Adriese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between US Adriese and Treviso.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for US Adriese x Treviso

Should you bet on US Adriese?

🔵 US Adriese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $493.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$217.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $633.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$67.00.

Is betting on Treviso worth it?

🔴 Treviso: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $532.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$68.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Adriese x Treviso

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 US Adriese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Adriese x Treviso

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 US Adriese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 US Adriese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 US Adriese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Adriese x Treviso

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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