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Home Β» Predictions Β» US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja Betting tips for September 29 in Tunisia League 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Tunisia League 1
US Ben Guerdane US Ben Guerdane
PREDICTION No tip
Olympique de Beja Olympique de Beja
Don't miss this prediction!

US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja Betting tips for September 29 in Tunisia League 1

Our betting tip for US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
US Ben Guerdane US Ben Guerdane
2.06
X
2.90
Olympique de Beja Olympique de Beja
3.66

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja

The main points for the tip for US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on US Ben Guerdane in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-168.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Olympique de Beja in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $940.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, US Ben Guerdane scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Olympique de Beja scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja, with US Ben Guerdane as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Olympique de Beja is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja for the Tunisia League 1 – 29 of September

🏟️ US Ben Guerdane X Olympique de Beja – Tunisia League 1
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ US Ben Guerdane – Winning probability: 45.45% | Fair line: 2.2
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.00% | Fair line: 3.23
πŸ”΄ Olympique de Beja – Winning probability: 23.56% | Fair line: 4.25
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 US Ben Guerdane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja

Should you bet on US Ben Guerdane?

πŸ”΅ US Ben Guerdane: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $477.00
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$73.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $589.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Olympique de Beja?

πŸ”΄ Olympique de Beja: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $638.40
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$121.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 US Ben Guerdane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 US Ben Guerdane, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 US Ben Guerdane.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Olympique de Beja.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Ben Guerdane x Olympique de Beja

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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