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Home Β» Predictions Β» US Breno x Pro Sesto Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
US Breno US Breno
PREDICTION No tip
Pro Sesto Pro Sesto
Don't miss this prediction!

US Breno x Pro Sesto Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for US Breno x Pro Sesto, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
13:30
US Breno US Breno
2.37
X
3.10
Pro Sesto Pro Sesto
2.74

Our algorithm has selected this tip for US Breno x Pro Sesto:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for US Breno x Pro Sesto

Some important points for the tip for US Breno x Pro Sesto:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on US Breno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pro Sesto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-298.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Pro Sesto scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 US Breno matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, US Breno conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pro Sesto conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from US Breno x Pro Sesto for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ US Breno X Pro Sesto – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ US Breno – Winning probability: 39.77% | Fair line: 2.51
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.82% | Fair line: 3.24
πŸ”΄ Pro Sesto – Winning probability: 29.41% | Fair line: 3.4
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 US Breno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for US Breno x Pro Sesto right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for US Breno x Pro Sesto

Is it a good idea to bet on US Breno?

πŸ”΅ US Breno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $548.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$52.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $651.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$39.00.

Is it worth betting on Pro Sesto?

πŸ”΄ Pro Sesto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $504.60
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$205.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Breno x Pro Sesto

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 US Breno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Breno x Pro Sesto

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 US Breno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 US Breno.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 US Breno.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Breno x Pro Sesto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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