US Corticella x Piacenza Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for US Corticella x Piacenza, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 13:30

US Corticella 2.60

X 3.20

Piacenza 2.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for US Corticella x Piacenza:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for US Corticella x Piacenza

The main points for the tip for US Corticella x Piacenza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on US Corticella in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 US Corticella did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Piacenza scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 US Corticella matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Piacenza matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, US Corticella conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for US Corticella as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from US Corticella x Piacenza for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between US Corticella and Piacenza.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for US Corticella x Piacenza

Is betting on US Corticella worth it?

🔵 US Corticella: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $464.00
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$246.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $682.00;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$8.00.

Is it worth betting on Piacenza?

🔴 Piacenza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $538.20
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$71.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match US Corticella x Piacenza

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 US Corticella
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Corticella x Piacenza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 US Corticella, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 US Corticella.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Piacenza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Corticella x Piacenza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.