US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 13:30

US Fiorenzuola 2.82

X 3.05

ASD Sasso Marconi 2.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi

Some important points for the tip for US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on US Fiorenzuola in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, ASD Sasso Marconi scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against ASD Sasso Marconi, US Fiorenzuola scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 ASD Sasso Marconi matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi, with US Fiorenzuola as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, US Fiorenzuola conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, ASD Sasso Marconi conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 US Fiorenzuola has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against ASD Sasso Marconi. 👉 It is not a good time for US Fiorenzuola as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches. 👉 It is not a good time for ASD Sasso Marconi as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between US Fiorenzuola and ASD Sasso Marconi.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi

Is it a good idea to bet on US Fiorenzuola?

🔵 US Fiorenzuola: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $728.00
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$128.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $635.50;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$54.50.

Is it worth betting on ASD Sasso Marconi?

🔴 ASD Sasso Marconi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $390.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$310.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 US Fiorenzuola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 US Fiorenzuola and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 US Fiorenzuola.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 US Fiorenzuola.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Fiorenzuola x ASD Sasso Marconi

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.