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Home » Predictions » Others » US Lavis x Montecchio Maggiore Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
US Lavis US Lavis
PREDICTION Montecchio Maggiore Wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Montecchio Maggiore Montecchio Maggiore
ODD: @2.46 Don't miss this prediction!

US Lavis x Montecchio Maggiore Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for US Lavis x Montecchio Maggiore, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
10:00
US Lavis US Lavis
2.55
X
3.10
Montecchio Maggiore Montecchio Maggiore
2.46

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for US Lavis x Montecchio Maggiore:

🔮 Montecchio Maggiore wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montecchio Maggiore, you can win up to $1230.00!

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The main points for the tip for US Lavis x Montecchio Maggiore:

👉 If you had bet $100 on US Lavis in each of its last 3 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, US Lavis conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for US Lavis as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from US Lavis x Montecchio Maggiore for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

🏟️ US Lavis X Montecchio Maggiore – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 US Lavis – Winning probability: 25.17% | Fair line: 3.97
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.33% | Fair line: 3.95
🔴 Montecchio Maggiore – Winning probability: 49.51% | Fair line: 2.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 US Lavis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between US Lavis and Montecchio Maggiore.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for US Lavis x Montecchio Maggiore

Should you bet on US Lavis?

🔵 US Lavis: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $387.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$362.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Should you bet on Montecchio Maggiore?

🔴 Montecchio Maggiore: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $730.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$230.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Lavis x Montecchio Maggiore

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 US Lavis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Lavis x Montecchio Maggiore

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 US Lavis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 US Lavis.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Montecchio Maggiore.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Lavis x Montecchio Maggiore

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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