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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» US Orleans 45 x Boulogne Betting tips for March 14 in France National
Friday, 14 March 2025, 18h30 France National
US Orleans 45 US Orleans 45
PREDICTION No tip
Boulogne Boulogne
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US Orleans 45 x Boulogne Betting tips for March 14 in France National

Our betting tip for US Orleans 45 x Boulogne, Friday, 14/3/2025
πŸ“… 14/3/2025
18:30
US Orleans 45 US Orleans 45
2.08
X
3.00
Boulogne Boulogne
3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for US Orleans 45 x Boulogne:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for US Orleans 45 x Boulogne

Some important points for the tip for US Orleans 45 x Boulogne:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on US Orleans 45 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boulogne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $280.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, US Orleans 45 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Boulogne, US Orleans 45 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Boulogne matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 US Orleans 45 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, US Orleans 45 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on US Orleans 45 x Boulogne?

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Analysis from US Orleans 45 x Boulogne for the France National – 14 of March

🏟️ US Orleans 45 X Boulogne – France National
πŸ“… 14 of March, 2025 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ US Orleans 45 – Winning probability: 40.08% | Fair line: 2.5
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.31% | Fair line: 2.91
πŸ”΄ Boulogne – Winning probability: 25.61% | Fair line: 3.91
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 US Orleans 45
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on US Orleans 45 x Boulogne is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281036 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for US Orleans 45 x Boulogne

Is betting on US Orleans 45 worth it?

πŸ”΅ US Orleans 45: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $432.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$168.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $680.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Boulogne?

πŸ”΄ Boulogne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$116.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Orleans 45 x Boulogne

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 US Orleans 45
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Orleans 45 x Boulogne

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 US Orleans 45 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 US Orleans 45.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Orleans 45 x Boulogne

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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