US Palmese 1914 x FBC Gravina Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for US Palmese 1914 x FBC Gravina, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 13:30

US Palmese 1914 2.10

X 3.20

FBC Gravina 3.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for US Palmese 1914 x FBC Gravina:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for US Palmese 1914 x FBC Gravina

Important information for your tip for US Palmese 1914 x FBC Gravina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on US Palmese 1914 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, FBC Gravina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, US Palmese 1914 conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, FBC Gravina conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from US Palmese 1914 x FBC Gravina for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between US Palmese 1914 and FBC Gravina.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for US Palmese 1914 x FBC Gravina

Is it worth betting on US Palmese 1914?

🔵 US Palmese 1914: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $484.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is betting on FBC Gravina worth it?

🔴 FBC Gravina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $560.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match US Palmese 1914 x FBC Gravina

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 US Palmese 1914
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Palmese 1914 x FBC Gravina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 US Palmese 1914 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 US Palmese 1914.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Palmese 1914 x FBC Gravina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.