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Home » Predictions » Others » US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23 Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie C Group A
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 14h00 Italy Serie C Group A
US Pergolettese US Pergolettese
PREDICTION Atalanta U23 Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Atalanta U23 Atalanta U23
ODD: @2.02 Don't miss this prediction!

US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23 Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
14:00
US Pergolettese US Pergolettese
3.25
X
3.30
Atalanta U23 Atalanta U23
2.02

Our algorithm has selected this tip for US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23:

🔮 Atalanta U23 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta U23, you can win up to $1010.00!

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Some important points for the tip for US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23:

👉 If you had bet $100 on US Pergolettese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta U23 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Atalanta U23 scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23?

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Analysis from US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23 for the Italy Serie C Group A – 2 of February

🏟️ US Pergolettese X Atalanta U23 – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 US Pergolettese – Winning probability: 17.78% | Fair line: 5.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.18% | Fair line: 4.51
🔴 Atalanta U23 – Winning probability: 60.04% | Fair line: 1.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 US Pergolettese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23

Is it worth betting on US Pergolettese?

🔵 US Pergolettese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $405.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$274.00.

Is betting on Atalanta U23 worth it?

🔴 Atalanta U23: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $612.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$212.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 US Pergolettese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 US Pergolettese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 US Pergolettese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Atalanta U23.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Pergolettese x Atalanta U23

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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