US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio Betting tips for April 13 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 15:30

US Pergolettese 2.64

X 2.84

GIANA Erminio 2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio

Some important points for the tip for US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on US Pergolettese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Giana Erminio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 Giana Erminio did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 Giana Erminio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between US Pergolettese x Giana Erminio, with US Pergolettese as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio for the Italy Serie C Group A – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio

Is betting on US Pergolettese worth it?

🔵 US Pergolettese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $705.20;
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$135.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $588.80;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$91.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on GIANA Erminio?

🔴 GIANA Erminio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $375.00
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$375.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 US Pergolettese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 US Pergolettese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 US Pergolettese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 GIANA Erminio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Pergolettese x GIANA Erminio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.