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Home » Predictions » Others » USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908 Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
USD Casatese USD Casatese
PREDICTION No tip
A.C. Crema 1908 A.C. Crema 1908
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USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908 Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
10:00
USD Casatese USD Casatese
1.71
X
3.30
A.C. Crema 1908 A.C. Crema 1908
4.29

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908

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Summary

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Analysis from USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908 for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

🏟️ USD Casatese X A.C. Crema 1908 – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 USD Casatese – Winning probability: 52.72% | Fair line: 1.9
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.43% | Fair line: 3.78
🔴 A.C. Crema 1908 – Winning probability: 20.84% | Fair line: 4.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 USD Casatese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908

Is it a good idea to bet on USD Casatese?

🔵 USD Casatese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $376.30;
  • And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$93.70. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is betting on A.C. Crema 1908 worth it?

🔴 A.C. Crema 1908: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $690.90;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$99.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 USD Casatese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 USD Casatese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 USD Casatese.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USD Casatese x A.C. Crema 1908

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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