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Home » Predictions » USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
USD Casatese USD Casatese
PREDICTION USD Casatese wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
USD Castellanzese USD Castellanzese
ODD: @1.43 Don't miss this prediction!

USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
13:30
USD Casatese USD Casatese
1.43
X
4.00
USD Castellanzese USD Castellanzese
6.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese:

🔮 USD Casatese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on USD Casatese, you can win up to $715.00!

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The main points for the tip for USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on USD Casatese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, USD Castellanzese scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ USD Casatese X USD Castellanzese – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 USD Casatese – Winning probability: 76.81% | Fair line: 1.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.80% | Fair line: 5.32
🔴 USD Castellanzese – Winning probability: 4.39% | Fair line: 22.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 USD Casatese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese

Should you bet on USD Casatese?

🔵 USD Casatese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – profiting $331.10;
  • And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$101.10.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$240.00.

Should you bet on USD Castellanzese?

🔴 USD Castellanzese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $200.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$760.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 USD Casatese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 USD Casatese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 USD Casatese.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USD Casatese x USD Castellanzese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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