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Home » Predictions » Others » USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
USD Castellanzese USD Castellanzese
PREDICTION No tip
Ciliverghe Mazzano Ciliverghe Mazzano
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USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
10:00
USD Castellanzese USD Castellanzese
2.45
X
3.02
Ciliverghe Mazzano Ciliverghe Mazzano
2.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano

Important information for your tip for USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on USD Castellanzese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $675.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

🏟️ USD Castellanzese X Ciliverghe Mazzano – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 USD Castellanzese – Winning probability: 38.48% | Fair line: 2.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.96% | Fair line: 3.45
🔴 Ciliverghe Mazzano – Winning probability: 32.56% | Fair line: 3.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 USD Castellanzese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano

Is it worth betting on USD Castellanzese?

🔵 USD Castellanzese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $551.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$69.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $585.80;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$124.20.

Should you bet on Ciliverghe Mazzano?

🔴 Ciliverghe Mazzano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 USD Castellanzese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 USD Castellanzese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 USD Castellanzese.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USD Castellanzese x Ciliverghe Mazzano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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