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Home » Predictions » Others » USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba Betting tips for January 11 in Mali Premiere Division
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 15h45 Mali Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako USFAS Bamako
PREDICTION No tip
US Bougouba US Bougouba
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USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba Betting tips for January 11 in Mali Premiere Division

Our betting tip for USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
15:45
USFAS Bamako USFAS Bamako
2.62
X
2.88
US Bougouba US Bougouba
2.58

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba

The main points for the tip for USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba:

👉 If you had bet $100 on US Bougouba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
👉 In the last 6 US Bougouba matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, US Bougouba has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba for the Mali Premiere Division – 11 of January

🏟️ USFAS Bamako X US Bougouba – Mali Premiere Division
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 15:45
🔵 USFAS Bamako – Winning probability: 28.54% | Fair line: 3.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.23% | Fair line: 2.84
🔴 US Bougouba – Winning probability: 36.24% | Fair line: 2.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 USFAS Bamako
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba

Is betting on USFAS Bamako worth it?

🔵 USFAS Bamako: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $469.80;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $658.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on US Bougouba?

🔴 US Bougouba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $568.80;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$71.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 USFAS Bamako
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 USFAS Bamako and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 USFAS Bamako.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 US Bougouba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USFAS Bamako x US Bougouba

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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