📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for USM Alger x MC Alger
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Analysis from USM Alger x MC Alger for the Algeria Division 1 – 16 of January
🏟️ USM Alger X MC Alger – Algeria Division 1
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between USM Alger and MC Alger.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for USM Alger x MC Alger
Is it a good idea to bet on USM Alger?
🔵 USM Alger: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $599.40;
- And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$139.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $522.60;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on MC Alger?
🔴 MC Alger: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $439.85;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$370.15.
Handicaps analysis for the match USM Alger x MC Alger
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 USM Alger
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USM Alger x MC Alger
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 USM Alger, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 USM Alger.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 USM Alger.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USM Alger x MC Alger
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves