USM Alger x USM El Harrach Betting tips for April 15 in Algeria Cup

Our betting tip for USM Alger x USM El Harrach, Tuesday, 15/4/2025

📅 15/4/2025 19:45

USM Alger 1.38

X 3.90

USM El Harrach 7.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for USM Alger x USM El Harrach:

🔮 USM Alger wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on USM Alger, you can win up to $690.00!

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Some important points for the tip for USM Alger x USM El Harrach: 👉 If you had bet $100 on USM Alger in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $27.0. 👉 USM El Harrach did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, USM Alger scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, USM El Harrach scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 USM Alger matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 USM El Harrach matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, USM El Harrach has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from USM Alger x USM El Harrach for the Algeria Cup – 15 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between USM Alger and USM El Harrach.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for USM Alger x USM El Harrach

Should you bet on USM Alger?

🔵 USM Alger: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $338.20
• And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$228.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $261.00;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$649.00.

Should you bet on USM El Harrach?

🔴 USM El Harrach: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $133.00
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$847.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match USM Alger x USM El Harrach

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 USM Alger
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USM Alger x USM El Harrach

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 USM Alger and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 USM Alger.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 USM El Harrach.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USM Alger x USM El Harrach

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.