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Home » Predictions » Others » USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21 Betting tips for October 31 in Algeria U21 Division 1
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 14h00 Algeria U21 Division 1
USM Khenchela U21 USM Khenchela U21
PREDICTION USM Khenchela U21 wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
NC Magra U21 NC Magra U21
ODD: @1.61 Don't miss this prediction!

USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21 Betting tips for October 31 in Algeria U21 Division 1

Our betting tip for USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
14:00
USM Khenchela U21 USM Khenchela U21
1.61
X
3.50
NC Magra U21 NC Magra U21
4.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21:

🔮 USM Khenchela U21 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on USM Khenchela U21, you can win up to $805.00!

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The main points for the tip for USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21:

👉 If you had bet $100 on NC Magra U21 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, USM Khenchela U21 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, USM Khenchela U21 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, NC Magra U21 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for NC Magra U21 as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21:

Analysis from USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21 for the Algeria U21 Division 1 – 31 of October

🏟️ USM Khenchela U21 X NC Magra U21 – Algeria U21 Division 1
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 USM Khenchela U21 – Winning probability: 69.62% | Fair line: 1.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.59% | Fair line: 4.43
🔴 NC Magra U21 – Winning probability: 7.79% | Fair line: 12.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 USM Khenchela U21
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between USM Khenchela U21 and NC Magra U21.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213227 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21

Is betting on USM Khenchela U21 worth it?

🔵 USM Khenchela U21: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $427.00;
  • And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$127.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$195.00.

Is betting on NC Magra U21 worth it?

🔴 NC Magra U21: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $304.00
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$616.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 USM Khenchela U21
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 USM Khenchela U21, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 USM Khenchela U21. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USM Khenchela U21 x NC Magra U21

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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