USM Oujda x WAF Widad Fes Betting tips for January 12 in Morocco GNF 2
| 📅 12/1/2025 14:00 |
 USM Oujda1.85 |
X 2.98 |
WAF Widad Fes  4.14 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for USM Oujda x WAF Widad Fes:
🔮 USM Oujda wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on USM Oujda, you can win up to $925.00!
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Some important points for the tip for USM Oujda x WAF Widad Fes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on USM Oujda in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $215.0. |
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Analysis from USM Oujda x WAF Widad Fes for the Morocco GNF 2 – 12 of January
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🏟️ USM Oujda X WAF Widad Fes – Morocco GNF 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for USM Oujda x WAF Widad Fes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for USM Oujda x WAF Widad Fes
Should you bet on USM Oujda?
🔵 USM Oujda: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $484.50
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$54.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $613.80
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.20.
Is it worth betting on WAF Widad Fes?
🔴 WAF Widad Fes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $345.40;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$544.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match USM Oujda x WAF Widad Fes
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 USM Oujda
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USM Oujda x WAF Widad Fes
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 USM Oujda, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 USM Oujda.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USM Oujda x WAF Widad Fes
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
