UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn Betting tips for December 1 in Luxembourg Division Nationale
| 📅 1/12/2024 15:00 |
 UT Petange4.08 |
X 3.50 |
Progres Niedercorn  1.76 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn
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The main points for the tip for UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn: 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Progres Niedercorn conceded at least 1 goal(s). |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn?
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Analysis from UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn for the Luxembourg Division Nationale – 1 of December
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🏟️ UT Petange X Progres Niedercorn – Luxembourg Division Nationale |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn
Is it worth betting on UT Petange?
🔵 UT Petange: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $554.40;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $650.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$90.00.
Should you bet on Progres Niedercorn?
🔴 Progres Niedercorn: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $425.60;
- And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$14.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 UT Petange
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 UT Petange and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 UT Petange. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UT Petange x Progres Niedercorn
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
