UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo Betting tips for November 9 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo, Sunday, 9/11/2025

📅 9/11/2025 18:00

UTC Cajamarca 2.25

X 3.25

Sport Huancayo 2.84

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo

The main points for the tip for UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UTC Cajamarca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-85.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Huancayo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sport Huancayo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Sport Huancayo as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo:

⚽ In the match between UTC Cajamarca and Sport Huancayo, played at Heroes de San Ramón Stadium, home of UTC, we have an interesting scenario for analysis. UTC has shown recent difficulties at home with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 home games, averaging 1 goal per game and also conceding about 1 goal per match. Sport Huancayo, on the other hand, performs poorly away from home with only one win in the last five away games, conceding more goals (average of 2 goals against) than they score (1 goal per game).

📈 In terms of standings and morale: both teams are going through tough phases in the Peruvian Liga 1. UTC has not yet won in the Clausura and has been accumulating consecutive losses; Sport Huancayo also faces a negative streak with recent defeats. This indicates that both urgently need a win to improve their position on the table.

📰 The news reinforces this analysis: UTC Cajamarca has no wins in the Clausura so far, while Sport Huancayo suffered a recent defeat against Universitario after an opponent-converted penalty. Both teams seem pressured by their current poor form.

Analyzing the median odds (UTC: 2.25 / Draw: 3.25 / Sport Huancayo: 2.82), the normalized implied probabilities suggest a slight advantage for the home team due to the stadium factor — after all, it’s their usual arena — despite recent difficulties.

Looking at the final odds offered by betting houses (UTC: 2.20 / Draw: 3.50 / Sport Huancayo: 3), it’s clear there is more value in betting on a draw or even an away win considering the instability of the home team.

However, our internal model suggests betting on UTC’s victory with a positive EV close to +3.75%, indicating a small favorable margin to bet on the home team given the current odds.

My recommendation: Bet on UTC Cajamarca’s victory, as despite recent difficulties, they play at their traditional stadium where they tend to have better defensive and offensive performance; additionally, the need for points might motivate them more than the unstable visiting team.
The calculated expected value is moderate (+3.75%), but enough to consider as a value bet given the current odds.

Always remember to bet responsibly! 🎯

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Analysis from UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo for the Peru Liga 1 – 9 of November

When the best bet on UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1434498 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

The latest news about UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo

UTC Cajamarca: UTC Cajamarca is going through a tough period in the 2025 Liga 1, still without any wins in the Clausura, with only two draws (against Juan Pablo II College and Sporting Cristal) and five losses; in their last match, they briefly tied with a goal from Erinson Ramírez before Alex Valeras double goal secured the victory for Universitario de Deportes.

Sport Huancayo: In 2025, Sport Huancayo has faced a challenging streak in Perus Liga 1, losing 3-1 to Universitario in the Apertura after conceding a penalty converted by Marlon de Jesús and having Alex Valeras double goal disallowed for offside, then held a goalless draw against Alianza Lima in June before another defeat.

Table analysis for the game between UTC Cajamarca and Sport Huancayo

UTC Cajamarca: UTC Cajamarca is in 15th place in the overall standings of Liga 1 Peru 2025, with 32 points from 38 matches, a negative goal difference of 23. In the Clausura phase, they are 17th with 13 points from 17 matches and a goal difference of -6. Being close to the relegation zone, this match is very important to avoid the risk of relegation. A win would be crucial to earn vital points in the final stretch of the season and try to escape relegation. A draw or loss would significantly worsen their situation, increasing pressure on the team. 🔥

Sport Huancayo: Sport Huancayo is in 10th place overall with 45 points and a neutral goal difference (0). In the Clausura phase, they are 14th with 15 points and a negative goal difference of -9. The team is more comfortable than the opponent because they are in the safety zone, but far from qualifying for international tournaments. The ideal for the club would be to gather points to secure safety and perhaps dream of a more comfortable position in the middle of the table. A defeat wouldnt be catastrophic but would leave the team in a less comfortable zone. The match has a medium-high impact for Sport Huancayo as it directly influences stability in the competition. ⚽

Summary: The match between UTC Cajamarca and Sport Huancayo is highly important mainly for UTC Cajamarca, which fights against relegation and urgently needs points to stay alive in Liga 1. For Sport Huancayo, the match has medium-high importance as it can secure safety more comfortably and avoid pressure in the final rounds. A decisive duel for the lower part of the table, with a strong impact on the fight to stay up, especially for UTC. ⚔️

Tips for the 1×2 market for UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo

Is betting on UTC Cajamarca worth it?

🔵 UTC Cajamarca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $600.00;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$80.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $562.50
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$187.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sport Huancayo?

🔴 Sport Huancayo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $496.80;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$233.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UTC Cajamarca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 UTC Cajamarca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 UTC Cajamarca.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UTC Cajamarca x Sport Huancayo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.