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Home » Predictions » Others » V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu Betting tips for April 13 in Japan J2-League
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 05h00 Japan J2-League
V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki
PREDICTION V-Varen Nagasaki wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
ODD: @1.81 Don't miss this prediction!

V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu Betting tips for April 13 in Japan J2-League

Our betting tip for V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
05:00
V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki
1.81
X
3.60
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
3.86

Our algorithm has selected this tip for V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu:

🔮 V-Varen Nagasaki wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on V-Varen Nagasaki, you can win up to $905.00!

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Some important points for the tip for V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu:

👉 If you had bet $100 on V-Varen Nagasaki in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $310.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, V-Varen Nagasaki scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sagan Tosu conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu:

Analysis from V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu for the Japan J2-League – 13 of April

🏟️ V-Varen Nagasaki X Sagan Tosu – Japan J2-League
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 05:00
🔵 V-Varen Nagasaki – Winning probability: 62.30% | Fair line: 1.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.18% | Fair line: 4.95
🔴 Sagan Tosu – Winning probability: 17.52% | Fair line: 5.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 V-Varen Nagasaki
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302086 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu

Is betting on V-Varen Nagasaki worth it?

🔵 V-Varen Nagasaki: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $502.20;
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$122.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $520.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sagan Tosu?

🔴 Sagan Tosu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $514.80
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$305.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 V-Varen Nagasaki
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 V-Varen Nagasaki and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 V-Varen Nagasaki.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for V-Varen Nagasaki x Sagan Tosu

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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