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Home » Predictions » Valadares Gaia FC Women x Famalicao Women Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
Valadares Gaia FC Women Valadares Gaia FC Women
PREDICTION Valadares Gaia FC Women wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Famalicao Women Famalicao Women
ODD: @1.23 Don't miss this prediction!

Valadares Gaia FC Women x Famalicao Women Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women

Our betting tip for Valadares Gaia FC Women x Famalicao Women, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:00
Valadares Gaia FC Women Valadares Gaia FC Women
1.23
X
5.68
Famalicao Women Famalicao Women
9.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Valadares Gaia FC Women x Famalicao Women:

🔮 Valadares Gaia FC Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valadares Gaia FC Women, you can win up to $615.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Valadares Gaia FC Women x Famalicao Women:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Valadares Gaia FC Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $36.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-383.0.
👉 In the last 6 Valadares Gaia FC Women matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Famalicao Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Famalicao Women as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Valadares Gaia FC Women x Famalicao Women for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women – 29 of September

🏟️ Valadares Gaia FC Women X Famalicao Women – Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Valadares Gaia FC Women – Winning probability: 95.94% | Fair line: 1.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.24% | Fair line: 30.85
🔴 Famalicao Women – Winning probability: 0.82% | Fair line: 122.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Valadares Gaia FC Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Valadares Gaia FC Women and Famalicao Women.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valadares Gaia FC Women x Famalicao Women

Is it worth betting on Valadares Gaia FC Women?

🔵 Valadares Gaia FC Women: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 960 times – having a profit of $220.80;
  • And would lose other 40 times – having a loss of -$40.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$180.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $140.40;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$829.60.

Is betting on Famalicao Women worth it?

🔴 Famalicao Women: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $84.80
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$905.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Valadares Gaia FC Women x Famalicao Women

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Valadares Gaia FC Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valadares Gaia FC Women x Famalicao Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Valadares Gaia FC Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Valadares Gaia FC Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Famalicao Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valadares Gaia FC Women x Famalicao Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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