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Home Β» Predictions Β» Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19 Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Youth League
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 10h00 Spain Youth League
Valencia U19 Valencia U19
PREDICTION No tip
Barcelona U19 Barcelona U19
Don't miss this prediction!

Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19 Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Youth League

Our betting tip for Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19, Sunday, 11/5/2025
πŸ“… 11/5/2025
10:00
Valencia U19 Valencia U19
2.53
X
3.38
Barcelona U19 Barcelona U19
2.39

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19

Important information for your tip for Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Valencia U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Barcelona U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $443.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Valencia U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Barcelona U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, Barcelona U19 has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19 for the Spain Youth League – 11 of May

🏟️ Valencia U19 X Barcelona U19 – Spain Youth League
πŸ“… 11 of May, 2025 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ Valencia U19 – Winning probability: 36.57% | Fair line: 2.73
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.23% | Fair line: 4.5
πŸ”΄ Barcelona U19 – Winning probability: 41.20% | Fair line: 2.43
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Valencia U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322631 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19

Is betting on Valencia U19 worth it?

πŸ”΅ Valencia U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $566.10;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$63.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $523.60;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$256.40.

Is betting on Barcelona U19 worth it?

πŸ”΄ Barcelona U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $569.90;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$20.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Valencia U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Valencia U19 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Valencia U19.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Valencia U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valencia U19 x Barcelona U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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