Valencia Women x Real Sociedad Women Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Primera Women

Our betting tip for Valencia Women x Real Sociedad Women, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 11:00

Valencia Women 6.50

X 4.50

Real Sociedad Women 1.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Valencia Women x Real Sociedad Women:

🔮 Real Sociedad Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Sociedad Women, you can win up to $700.00!

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The main points for the tip for Valencia Women x Real Sociedad Women: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valencia Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Sociedad Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-15.0. 👉 Valencia Women did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Real Sociedad Women scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Valencia Women matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Real Sociedad Women matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Valencia Women x Real Sociedad Women, with Valencia Women as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Valencia Women conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Real Sociedad Women has not lost any of them. 👉 It is not a good time for Valencia Women as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Valencia Women x Real Sociedad Women for the Spain Primera Women – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Valencia Women and Real Sociedad Women.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valencia Women x Real Sociedad Women

Should you bet on Valencia Women?

🔵 Valencia Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $495.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$415.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $490.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is betting on Real Sociedad Women worth it?

🔴 Real Sociedad Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 770 times – profiting $308.00;
• And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$78.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Valencia Women x Real Sociedad Women

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Valencia Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valencia Women x Real Sociedad Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Valencia Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 Valencia Women.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.75 Valencia Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valencia Women x Real Sociedad Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.