Valerenga x Mjondalen Betting tips for October 2 in Norway Division 1

Our betting tip for Valerenga x Mjondalen, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 14:00

Valerenga 1.22

X 6.25

Mjondalen 9.09

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Valerenga x Mjondalen:

🔮 Mjondalen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mjondalen, you can win up to $4545.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Valerenga x Mjondalen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valerenga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $146.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mjondalen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $525.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Valerenga scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Mjondalen, Valerenga scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Valerenga matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Valerenga is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Valerenga has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Mjondalen.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Valerenga x Mjondalen?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Valerenga x Mjondalen:

Analysis from Valerenga x Mjondalen for the Norway Division 1 – 2 of October

When the best bet on Valerenga x Mjondalen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Valerenga x Mjondalen

Is it worth betting on Valerenga?

🔵 Valerenga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $103.40;
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$426.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $735.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Should you bet on Mjondalen?

🔴 Mjondalen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $3236.00
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$2636.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Valerenga x Mjondalen

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Valerenga
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valerenga x Mjondalen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Valerenga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Valerenga. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valerenga x Mjondalen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.