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Home ยป Predictions ยป Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women Betting tips for September 29 in Norway Cup Women
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Norway Cup Women
Valerenga Women Valerenga Women
PREDICTION Valerenga Women wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
SK Brann Women SK Brann Women
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women Betting tips for September 29 in Norway Cup Women

Our betting tip for Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
Valerenga Women Valerenga Women
1.83
X
3.60
SK Brann Women SK Brann Women
3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Valerenga Women wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valerenga Women, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Valerenga Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $163.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SK Brann Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-8.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ SK Brann Women did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Valerenga Women scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, SK Brann Women scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against SK Brann Women, Valerenga Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women, with Valerenga Women as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Valerenga Women matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Valerenga Women is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ SK Brann Women is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Valerenga Women has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against SK Brann Women playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women?

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Analysis from Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women for the Norway Cup Women – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Valerenga Women X SK Brann Women – Norway Cup Women
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต Valerenga Women – Winning probability: 64.47% | Fair line: 1.55
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.76% | Fair line: 6.78
๐Ÿ”ด SK Brann Women – Winning probability: 20.77% | Fair line: 4.81
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Valerenga Women
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women

Should you bet on Valerenga Women?

๐Ÿ”ต Valerenga Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – profiting $531.20;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$171.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $390.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$460.00.

Is betting on SK Brann Women worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด SK Brann Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Valerenga Women
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Valerenga Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Valerenga Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 SK Brann Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valerenga Women x SK Brann Women

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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