Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Valladolid x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for November 30 in Spain La Liga
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Valladolid Valladolid
PREDICTION Atletico Madrid Wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Valladolid x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for November 30 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Valladolid x Atletico Madrid, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
20:00
Valladolid Valladolid
5.30
X
3.75
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
1.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Valladolid x Atletico Madrid:

🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $825.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Valladolid x Atletico Madrid:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $699.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Valladolid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Atletico Madrid is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Valladolid x Atletico Madrid?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Valladolid x Atletico Madrid:

Analysis from Valladolid x Atletico Madrid for the Spain La Liga – 30 of November

🏟️ Valladolid X Atletico Madrid – Spain La Liga
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Valladolid – Winning probability: 8.16% | Fair line: 12.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.08% | Fair line: 8.28
🔴 Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 79.77% | Fair line: 1.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Valladolid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Valladolid x Atletico Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valladolid x Atletico Madrid

Should you bet on Valladolid?

🔵 Valladolid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $344.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$576.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $330.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Should you bet on Atletico Madrid?

🔴 Atletico Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 79.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$320.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Valladolid x Atletico Madrid

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Valladolid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valladolid x Atletico Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Valladolid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Valladolid.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Atletico Madrid.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valladolid x Atletico Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters