Valladolid x Celta Vigo Betting tips for March 15 in Spain La Liga
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15/3/2025 13:00 |
 Valladolid4.60 |
X 3.80 |
Celta Vigo  1.71 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Valladolid x Celta Vigo:
๐ฎ Celta Vigo wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Celta Vigo, you can win up to $855.00!
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Important information for your tip for Valladolid x Celta Vigo: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Valladolid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $335.0. |
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Analysis from Valladolid x Celta Vigo for the Spain La Liga – 15 of March
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๐๏ธ Valladolid X Celta Vigo – Spain La Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Valladolid x Celta Vigo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Valladolid x Celta Vigo
Is betting on Valladolid worth it?
๐ต Valladolid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $252.00
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$678.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$202.00.
Should you bet on Celta Vigo?
๐ด Celta Vigo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $504.10;
- And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$214.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Valladolid x Celta Vigo
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Valladolid
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valladolid x Celta Vigo
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Valladolid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Valladolid.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Valladolid.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valladolid x Celta Vigo
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
