Valmiera FC II x Ogre United Betting tips for September 29 in Latvia 1. Liga

Our betting tip for Valmiera FC II x Ogre United, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

Valmiera FC II 1.91

X 3.55

Ogre United 3.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Valmiera FC II x Ogre United:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Valmiera FC II x Ogre United

The main points for the tip for Valmiera FC II x Ogre United: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valmiera FC II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $423.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ogre United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-352.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Valmiera FC II scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ogre United conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Valmiera FC II x Ogre United for the Latvia 1. Liga – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Valmiera FC II and Ogre United.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valmiera FC II x Ogre United

Is it worth betting on Valmiera FC II?

🔵 Valmiera FC II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $436.80;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$83.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $790.50
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$100.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Ogre United?

🔴 Ogre United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Valmiera FC II x Ogre United

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Valmiera FC II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valmiera FC II x Ogre United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Valmiera FC II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Valmiera FC II.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Valmiera FC II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valmiera FC II x Ogre United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.