Vardar Skopje x Akademija Pandev Betting tips for October 30 in North Macedonia First League
📅 30/10/2024 12:00 |
Vardar Skopje 2.30 |
X 3.04 |
Akademija Pandev 2.90 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vardar Skopje x Akademija Pandev:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Vardar Skopje x Akademija Pandev
Important information for your tip for Vardar Skopje x Akademija Pandev: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vardar Skopje in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. |
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Analysis from Vardar Skopje x Akademija Pandev for the North Macedonia First League – 30 of October
🏟️ Vardar Skopje X Akademija Pandev – North Macedonia First League |
When the best bet on Vardar Skopje x Akademija Pandev is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Vardar Skopje x Akademija Pandev
Should you bet on Vardar Skopje?
🔵 Vardar Skopje: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $507.00
- And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$103.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $652.80;
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$27.20.
Should you bet on Akademija Pandev?
🔴 Akademija Pandev: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $551.00
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$159.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vardar Skopje x Akademija Pandev
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Vardar Skopje
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vardar Skopje x Akademija Pandev
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Vardar Skopje, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Vardar Skopje.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Akademija Pandev.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vardar Skopje x Akademija Pandev
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.