Varea x Agoncillo Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 16

Our betting tip for Varea x Agoncillo, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 11:00

Varea 1.40

X 4.20

Agoncillo 6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Varea x Agoncillo:

🔮 Varea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Varea, you can win up to $700.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Varea x Agoncillo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Agoncillo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Agoncillo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Agoncillo, Varea scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Agoncillo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Varea x Agoncillo, with Varea as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Agoncillo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Agoncillo has not lost any of them. 👉 Varea has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Agoncillo.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Varea x Agoncillo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Varea x Agoncillo:

Analysis from Varea x Agoncillo for the Spain Tercera Group 16 – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Varea x Agoncillo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Varea x Agoncillo

Is it worth betting on Varea?

🔵 Varea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $316.00
• And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$106.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $448.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$412.00.

Is betting on Agoncillo worth it?

🔴 Agoncillo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $300.00
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Varea x Agoncillo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Varea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Varea x Agoncillo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Varea, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Varea.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Varea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Varea x Agoncillo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.