Varea x Tedeon Betting tips for April 16 in Spain Tercera Group 16

Our betting tip for Varea x Tedeon, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 17:30

Varea 1.17

X 6.40

Tedeon 10.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Varea x Tedeon:

🔮 Varea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Varea, you can win up to $585.00!

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Important information for your tip for Varea x Tedeon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tedeon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Tedeon, Varea scored at least 4 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Varea x Tedeon, with Varea as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tedeon conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Varea has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Tedeon.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Varea x Tedeon?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Varea x Tedeon, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Varea x Tedeon for the Spain Tercera Group 16 – 16 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Varea and Tedeon.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304980 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Varea x Tedeon

Is it worth betting on Varea?

🔵 Varea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 96.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 970 times – this would give you a profit of $164.90
• And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$134.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $108.00
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$872.00.

Is it worth betting on Tedeon?

🔴 Tedeon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $90.00
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$900.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Varea x Tedeon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Varea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Varea x Tedeon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Varea, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Varea.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Tedeon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Varea x Tedeon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.